Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.