Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
Thursday's clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose sees the two worst defensive teams go head-to-head, so we anticipate an open and end to end contest. We are also tipping the hosts to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.42% . A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.41%) . The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result Portland Timbers Draw San Jose Earthquakes 50.42% ( 0.04) 22.78% ( -0.01) 26.8% ( -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.97% ( 0.01)
60.57% ( 0.03) 39.43% ( -0.03)
38.23% ( 0.03) 61.77% ( -0.03)
84.16% ( 0.02) 15.83% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.98% ( 0.05) 45.02% ( -0.05)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
72.44% ( -0.01) 27.55% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.93% ( -0.01) 63.07% ( 0.01)
Portland Timbers 50.42%
San Jose Earthquakes 26.8%
Draw 22.77%
Portland Timbers Draw San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.42% 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.77% 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.8%
How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
Draw
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
21.4%
14
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 00:39:32
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