Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
1 - 2
Houston

Salloi (61')
Rodriguez (45'), Fontas (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Herrera (31'), Ibrahim (78')
Kowalczyk (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo have struggled in front of goal recently, but we can see them getting on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
46.2% ( -0.02)	24.69% ( 0.01)	29.1% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41% (

-0.03)

46.59% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

-0.03)

68.86% (

0.03)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

-0.02)

20.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.43% (

-0.03)

52.57% (

0.03)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4% (

-0.02)

29.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.37% (

-0.01)

65.63% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 46.2%

Houston Dynamo 29.11%

Draw 24.69%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.2%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 29.11%