Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2022 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Chang (35')
Savarino (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brenner (44', 76')
Hagglund (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

Last Six:

Last Game: Austin 3-0 Salt Lake
Thursday, September 15 at 2.15am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Portland Timbers	31	3	45
3	Real Salt Lake	31	-3	43
4	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	0	40

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 FC Cincinnati

Real Salt Lake have drawn two of their previous three home games, while Cincinnati's last away games have ended all square and as a result, we think the two sides will play out a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	FC Cincinnati
55.59% ( -0.14)	23.18% ( 0.06)	21.23% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.99% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-0.17)

46.95% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

-0.15)

69.2% (

0.15)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27% (

-0.11)

16.73% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.36% (

-0.2)

46.64% (

0.19)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

-0.02)

36.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85% (

-0.02)

73.14% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 55.58%

FC Cincinnati 21.23%

Draw 23.18%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 55.58%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 21.23%