Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.29% ( 0.74) | 23.13% ( -0.6) | 18.58% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( 1.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% ( 2.13) | 50.2% ( -2.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% ( 1.86) | 72.16% ( -1.87) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( 1.03) | 16.94% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% ( 1.81) | 47.01% ( -1.81) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.94% ( 1.08) | 41.06% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.39% ( 0.95) | 77.6% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.86% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) Other @ 2% Total : 18.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |