Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for DC United in this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
41.77% | 25.09% | 33.14% |
Both teams to score 56.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% | 46.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% | 68.91% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% | 22.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% | 55.72% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% | 26.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% | 62.3% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |