Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Reliant Stadium

Houston
0 - 0
St Louis City

Jackson (85')

Schmitt (74'), Ostrak (74'), Jackson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Houston Dynamo 3-1 St Louis City

While they have improved in many areas of the field, St Louis still allow their share of scoring opportunities, and that could benefit the Dynamo on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	St Louis City
67.45% ( -0.4)	18.76% ( 0.16)	13.78% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.99% (

-0.17)

40.01% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.62% (

-0.17)

62.37% (

0.17)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.07% (

-0.15)

10.92% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.89% (

-0.33)

35.11% (

0.33)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.95% (

0.25)

41.04% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.4% (

0.22)

77.59% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 67.45%

St Louis City 13.78%

Draw 18.76%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.16% Total : 67.45%	1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.76%	0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.78%