Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sporting Kansas City has a probability of 36.85% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win is 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.26%).
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
39.91% ( -0.47) | 23.24% ( 0.1) | 36.85% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 64.34% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.88% ( -0.48) | 37.12% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.68% ( -0.52) | 59.32% ( 0.51) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% ( -0.41) | 19.07% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.33% ( -0.68) | 50.67% ( 0.68) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( -0.03) | 20.5% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.02% ( -0.05) | 52.98% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.46% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |