Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.