Major League Soccer

Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 0
Colorado

Espinoza (78')
Monteiro (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Acosta (45+2'), Price (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Colorado Rapids

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Colorado Rapids

We think that this game will be dictated largely in possession by the visitors, that it will ultimately end in a low-scoring draw due to the away side's inability to finish off the chances that they create.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 57.46%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Colorado Rapids
57.46% ( 0.06)	21.03% ( -0.01)	21.51% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 60.83% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.2% (

-0.03)

36.8% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.03% (

-0.03)

58.97% (

0.04)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

0.01)

12.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.13% (

0.02)

38.87% (

-0.01)

Colorado Rapids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

-0.06)

30.34% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.47% (

-0.07)

66.53% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 57.46%

Colorado Rapids 21.51%

Draw 21.03%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Colorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 57.46%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.03%	1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 21.51%