Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 3-1 (5.68%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.