We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Houston Dynamo
Following their differing performances last season, the hosts would expect to come into Saturday's clash as favourites, but their confidence will be hit by last weekend's defeat.
Houston Dynamo showed resilience to earn a point against Real Salt Lake, and we see a similar outcome taking place in Kansas with the visitors holding Vermes's side to a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.