Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.