Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
37.98% ( -1.11) | 26.69% ( 0.41) | 35.33% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( -1.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.84% ( -1.61) | 53.16% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.27% ( -1.39) | 74.73% ( 1.38) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.8% ( -1.37) | 27.2% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.38% ( -1.82) | 62.62% ( 1.81) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.23% ( -0.36) | 28.77% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( -0.44) | 64.61% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |