MX23RW : Thursday, August 22 02:39:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
0 - 1
Brackley Town

FT(HT: 0-0)
Dean (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawBrackley Town
35.66% (0.184 0.18) 26.26% (-0.038 -0.04) 38.07% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (0.168 0.17)51.34% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (0.145 0.15)73.16% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.18900000000001 0.19)27.68% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (0.248 0.25)63.24% (-0.253 -0.25)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 35.66%
    Brackley Town 38.07%
    Draw 26.25%
Alfreton TownDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.66%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.07%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Brackley Town
1-1
Alfreton
Bates (17')
Salam (45')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Alfreton
1-0
Brackley Town
Rhead (26' pen.)
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Alfreton
0-1
Brackley Town
Lowe (48')
Yusuf (58')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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