National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Brackley Town1 - 1Alfreton
Bates (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Salam (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Buxton 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
56
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 3-0 Alfreton
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
53
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brackley Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
54.64% ( 3.27) | 24.6% ( -0.89) | 20.76% ( -2.38) |
Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% ( 0.99) | 53.2% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% ( 0.84) | 74.77% ( -0.83) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( 1.72) | 19.4% ( -1.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( 2.74) | 51.22% ( -2.74) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.6% ( -1.81) | 40.4% ( 1.82) |