National League North | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton3 - 4Brackley Town
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Brackley Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Oxford City 0-2 Brackley Town
Wednesday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North
Wednesday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
29.62% ( -0.06) | 28.61% ( -0) | 41.77% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 44.71% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.57% ( -0) | 61.43% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.68% | 81.31% ( 0) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% ( -0.05) | 37.01% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% ( -0.05) | 73.8% ( 0.05) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( 0.04) | 29.01% ( -0.04) |