Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
