National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford3 - 3Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-3 Alfreton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
61
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
38.9% ( 0.06) | 26.33% | 34.77% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.97% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.29% | 51.71% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.51% ( -0) | 73.49% ( 0) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( 0.03) | 26.01% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( 0.05) | 61.04% ( -0.05) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.04) | 28.41% ( 0.04) |