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National League North | Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 0
Bishop's Stortford

Ceesay (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Bishop's Stortford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North

Bishop's Stortford

All competitions
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 1-0 Darlington
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawBishop's Stortford
47.13% (3.616 3.62) 27.86% (-1.317 -1.32) 25% (-2.296 -2.3)
Both teams to score 43.82% (1.727 1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.88% (2.995 3)61.11% (-2.994 -2.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.92% (2.185 2.19)81.08% (-2.182 -2.18)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (3.313 3.31)26.05% (-3.312 -3.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (4.254 4.25)61.09% (-4.252 -4.25)
Bishop's Stortford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.331 -0.33)40.74% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.298 -0.3)77.32% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 47.13%
    Bishop's Stortford 25%
    Draw 27.85%
Hereford UnitedDrawBishop's Stortford
1-0 @ 14.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 9.6% (0.693 0.69)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.549 0.55)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.666 0.67)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.568 0.57)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.242 0.24)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.333 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.29 0.29)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 10.61% (-1.25 -1.25)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.213 0.21)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 9.53% (-1.221 -1.22)
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.593 -0.59)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 25%

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