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National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road
Chorley

P'boro Sports
1 - 3
Chorley

Jarvis (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ellis (41'), Maguire (45+4'), Ubaezuonu (48')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Banbury
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawChorley
33.34% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 26.32% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 40.33% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.71% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.076999999999998 0.08)51.92% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.065999999999999 0.07)73.67% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.41% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.41% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.091999999999999 0.09)25.33% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.128 0.13)60.11% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 33.34%
    Chorley 40.33%
    Draw 26.32%
Peterborough SportsDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.33%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Chorley
2-0
P'boro Sports
Calveley (7'), Johnson (37' pen.)
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Chorley
1-0
P'boro Sports
Sampson (90+1' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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