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National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
1 - 3
Warrington Town

Gash (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Woods (18'), Eze (51'), McDonald (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 0-2 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrington Town would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawWarrington Town
31.41% (3.625 3.63) 26.41% (0.618 0.62) 42.18% (-4.243 -4.24)
Both teams to score 51.8% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.843 -0.84)52.8% (0.843 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (-0.725 -0.73)74.42% (0.723 0.72)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (2.221 2.22)31.14% (-2.223 -2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (2.516 2.52)67.47% (-2.517 -2.52)
Warrington Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-2.411 -2.41)24.77% (2.409 2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (-3.485 -3.49)59.34% (3.485 3.49)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 31.41%
    Warrington Town 42.17%
    Draw 26.4%
Peterborough SportsDrawWarrington Town
1-0 @ 9% (0.81 0.81)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.593 0.59)
2-0 @ 5.25% (0.754 0.75)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.385 0.39)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.396 0.4)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.41%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.424 -0.42)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.858 -0.86)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.51 -0.51)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.684 -0.68)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.346 -0.35)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.17%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
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