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National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
1 - 0
Gloucester City

Jarvis (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 2-1 P'boro Sports
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawGloucester City
46.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05) 23.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 29.61% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.084000000000003 0.08)41.94% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.084000000000003 0.08)64.35% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)18.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)49.2% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.082999999999998 0.08)26.9% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (0.10700000000001 0.11)62.23% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 46.66%
    Gloucester City 29.61%
    Draw 23.73%
Peterborough SportsDrawGloucester City
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.61%

Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Gloucester City
2-1
P'boro Sports
Smalley (42'), Wright (87')
Lawler (66' pen.)
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
P'boro Sports
1-2
Gloucester City
Gyamfi (20')
Phillips (45', 50')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Gloucester City
3-1
P'boro Sports
McClure (19', 60'), Spence (43')
Nicholson (15')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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