Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southport in this match.