MX23RW : Monday, December 23 12:45:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 17
Jan 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 0
Chelmsford City

Bingham (27'), O'Neill (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawChelmsford City
57.36% (-1.322 -1.32) 22.31% (0.358 0.36) 20.33% (0.959 0.96)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.408 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (-0.235 -0.23)44.3% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-0.229 -0.23)66.67% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.509 -0.51)15.2% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17% (-0.965 -0.97)43.83% (0.96 0.96)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (0.859 0.86)35.74% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.873 0.87)72.51% (-0.877 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 57.35%
    Chelmsford City 20.33%
    Draw 22.3%
EbbsfleetDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.208 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.33%

Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd22127333191443
2Truro CityTruro City22125535201541
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood22117437181940
4Dorking WanderersDorking23117549311840
5Maidstone UnitedMaidstone22109335201539
6Weston-super-MareWeston22116534241039
7Worthing2211653430439
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2211653026439
9Farnborough TownFarnborough2211383534136
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels219842822635
11Slough TownSlough2296740291133
12Hampton & RichmondHampton228773124731
13AFC HornchurchHornchurch228772423131
14Chippenham TownChippenham2284102828028
15Chesham UnitedChesham218493035-528
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City216873532326
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2374122946-1725
18Salisbury2266103134-324
19Welling UnitedWelling United2273122440-1624
20Bath City2264121829-1122
21Aveley2243152542-1715
22Enfield Town2243152247-2515
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2228122238-1614
24Weymouth2127121230-1813


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