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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Gateshead

Altrincham
2 - 3
Gateshead

Newby (16'), Mooney (53')
Wilson (32'), Banks (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dinanga (50'), Evans (57'), Adom (73')
Worman (30'), Richardson (81'), Adom (85'), Adom (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Gateshead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-1 Gateshead

There is very little between the two teams in the league table and that should lead to a close and competitive fixture this weekend. Playing at home will provide Altrincham with a slight advantage and that could be the difference maker in this important match in the fight for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
AltrinchamDrawGateshead
41.13% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 23.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.75% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.32% (0.012999999999998 0.01)36.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.16% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.47%
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.012999999999991 0.01)20.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.016999999999996 0.02)53.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 41.13%
    Gateshead 35.75%
    Draw 23.12%
AltrinchamDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Gateshead

Altrincham
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Gateshead
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Gateshead
0-2
Altrincham

McBride (23'), Booty (45+2'), Mair (90+3'), Pani (90+6'), Francis (90+3'), Pani (90+6')
Amaluzor (47'), Donawa (90+2')
Amaluzor (26'), Osborne (28')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Gateshead
1-3
Altrincham
Bailey (3')
Conn-Clarke (12'), Dinanga (32'), Malone (70')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Altrincham
2-3
Gateshead
Hancock (30'), Mooney (79')
Langstaff (22', 90+1'), Ward (57')
Ward (44')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Gateshead
2-2
Altrincham
Campbell (47'), Olley (79')
Olley (27'), Ward (35')
Dinanga (83'), Moult (90+5')
Whitehead (40'), Digie (76'), Mullarkey (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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