Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.