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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
2 - 1
Dorking

Linney (5'), Kosylo (11')
Marriott (45+3'), Kosylo (51'), Angus (75'), Angus (75')
Linney (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blair (60' pen.)
Cook (11'), Taylor (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dag & Red 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 4-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-0 Dorking Wanderers

Altrincham have proved themselves to be one of the best teams in the National League this season, and Tuesday's affair is a tough assignment for Dorking. It might be a cagey affair at times, but we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawDorking Wanderers
56.08% (0.743 0.74) 21.99% (-0.084 -0.08) 21.93% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.01% (-0.639 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.22% (-0.419 -0.42)40.78% (0.416 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83% (-0.43 -0.43)63.17% (0.427 0.43)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (0.093999999999994 0.09)14.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.66% (0.187 0.19)42.33% (-0.189 -0.19)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.82499999999999 -0.82)32.22% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.947 -0.95)68.71% (0.943 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 56.09%
    Dorking Wanderers 21.93%
    Draw 21.98%
AltrinchamDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.09%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.93%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Dorking

Altrincham
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Dorking Wanderers
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Dorking
3-2
Altrincham
Muitt (13'), Ottaway (60'), Prior (71')
Linney (5'), Oyedele (8')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Altrincham
4-1
Dorking
Colclough (45+1'), Mullarkey (49'), Bennett (66'), Dinanga (87')
Gallagher (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet40287584335191
2York City40248877374080
3Forest Green RoversForest Green402015560352575
4Oldham AthleticOldham401715857411666
5Halifax TownHalifax401712114637963
6Rochdale381791256381860
7Gateshead401791467571060
8Southend UnitedSouthend401514115146559
9AltrinchamAltrincham401512136051957
10Tamworth401512135458-457
11Eastleigh401314135351253
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool401216124949052
13Yeovil TownYeovil401410164551-652
14Sutton UnitedSutton391312145153-251
15Aldershot TownAldershot391214136165-450
16Solihull MoorsSolihull40139185460-648
17Braintree TownBraintree40139184553-848
18Woking391015144052-1245
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red401013175157-643
20Boston UnitedBoston391110184558-1343
21WealdstoneWealdstone391012174867-1942
22Fylde39116224671-2539
23Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead40108224471-2738
24Ebbsfleet40213253285-5319


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