Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
49.89% ( -0.48) | 23.84% ( -0.13) | 26.27% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 56.79% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% ( 1.07) | 44.73% ( -1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 1.02) | 67.09% ( -1.02) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% ( 0.22) | 18.01% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.11% ( 0.38) | 48.88% ( -0.38) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% ( 1.05) | 30.73% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% ( 1.22) | 66.99% ( -1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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