Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Eastleigh |
42.42% ( -0.01) | 25.59% ( 0.01) | 31.98% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.77% ( -0.02) | 49.22% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.71% ( -0.02) | 71.28% ( 0.02) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( -0.01) | 23.08% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.08% ( -0.02) | 56.91% ( 0.02) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% ( -0) | 28.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% ( -0.01) | 64.85% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Eastleigh |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.42% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |