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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Southend United

Altrincham
1 - 0
Southend

Linney (80' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralph (47'), Taylor (49'), Miley (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 3-2 Altrincham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 1-0 Southend United

Altrincham still have plenty to play for this season in the National League and the FA Trophy, so they will be highly motivated on Saturday to earn three points. Southend's playoff dreams are all but dead, and we cannot envisage them earning a first maximum of the month in Cheshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 41.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.73% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.6% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 33.95%
    Southend United 41.12%
    Draw 24.92%
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.12%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Altrincham
1-2
Southend
Mooney (68')
Murphy (1'), Dalby (34')
Demetriou (45'), Phillips (80'), Lopata (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet24154550292149
2York City23146347202748
3Forest Green RoversForest Green23138241192247
4Gateshead24145549311847
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale22123734201439
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2411584336738
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
10Yeovil TownYeovil2410593027335
11Eastleigh238963230233
12Sutton UnitedSutton249693332133
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool248972929033
14Southend UnitedSouthend247982827130
15Tamworth238692639-1330
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red237793733428
17Woking2467112335-1225
18Aldershot TownAldershot2459103442-824
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2465132335-1223
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2465133046-1623
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2336141938-1915
24Ebbsfleet2416171758-419


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