Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.