Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.