Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 8.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.