Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
23.29% ( -0.08) | 24.85% ( -0.02) | 51.86% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( -0.02) | 51.58% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( -0.01) | 73.37% ( 0.02) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.02% ( -0.08) | 36.98% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.23% ( -0.09) | 73.76% ( 0.09) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.03) | 19.88% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( 0.05) | 51.99% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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