Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Solihull Moors |
33.15% ( 0.02) | 24.46% ( 0) | 42.39% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.97% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% ( -0.02) | 43.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% ( -0.02) | 66.17% ( 0.02) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.42% ( 0) | 25.58% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.55% ( 0) | 60.45% ( -0.01) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% ( -0.02) | 20.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.59% ( -0.03) | 53.4% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Solihull Moors |
2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.15% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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