Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Southend United |
35.35% ( 0.05) | 24.81% ( -0.03) | 39.85% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% ( 0.13) | 44.91% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.74% ( 0.12) | 67.26% ( -0.12) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% ( 0.09) | 24.83% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.57% ( 0.12) | 59.43% ( -0.12) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.54% ( 0.05) | 22.46% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44% ( 0.07) | 56% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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