Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.