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National League | Gameweek 18
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium
Chesterfield

Kidderminster
1 - 3
Chesterfield

Brown (25')
Robinson (39'), McNally (64'), Pearce (68'), (82')
McNally (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Banks (21', 67'), Grigg (90+1')
Jones (24'), Freckleton (31')
Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-0 York City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChesterfield
29.01% (-0.786 -0.79) 27.18% (-0.061 -0.06) 43.81% (0.845 0.84)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)56.67% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)77.63% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-0.648 -0.65)34.91% (0.645 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-0.688 -0.69)71.65% (0.68400000000001 0.68)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.39200000000001 0.39)25.68% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (0.532 0.53)60.6% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 29.01%
    Chesterfield 43.8%
    Draw 27.17%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 12.18% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.28% (0.212 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.8%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet24154550292149
2York City23146347202748
3Forest Green RoversForest Green23138241192247
4Gateshead24145549311847
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale22123734201439
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2411584336738
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
10Yeovil TownYeovil2410593027335
11Eastleigh238963230233
12Sutton UnitedSutton249693332133
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool248972929033
14Southend UnitedSouthend247982827130
15Tamworth238692639-1330
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red237793733428
17Woking2467112335-1225
18Aldershot TownAldershot2459103442-824
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2465132335-1223
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2465133046-1623
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2336141938-1915
24Ebbsfleet2416171758-419


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