Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.