Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Barnet |
40.88% ( 0.24) | 24.1% ( -0.04) | 35.02% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.38% ( 0.16) | 41.61% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.98% ( 0.16) | 64.01% ( -0.16) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( 0.18) | 20.54% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( 0.28) | 53.05% ( -0.28) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.51% ( -0.03) | 23.49% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.48% ( -0.05) | 57.51% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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