Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.