Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Tamworth |
52.32% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( -0) | 23.33% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.08% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.5% ( 0.01) | 49.5% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.47% ( 0.01) | 71.53% ( -0.01) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( 0.01) | 18.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.64% ( 0.01) | 50.36% ( -0.01) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.21% ( 0) | 35.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.44% ( 0) | 72.56% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Tamworth |
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 9.39% 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.92% Total : 23.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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