Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.