Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.