Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.