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Barnet
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
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Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
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Woking
Yeovil Town
Scunthorpe United
National League | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium
Barnet

Scunthorpe
1 - 3
Barnet

McDonagh (62')
Leake (18'), Shrimpton (30'), Taft (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gorman (31', 55'), Moyo (66')
Okimo (59'), Walker (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's National League clash between Scunthorpe United and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League

Barnet

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-2 Barnet
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Scunthorpe United 1-2 Barnet

 There is no doubt that Scunthorpe have taken significant strides in recent weeks, but Barnet have laid a marker down as one of the best teams in the fifth tier. As such, we expect the visitors to emerge with a narrow victory in what will be a closely-contested game, with Kabamba likely to get on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawBarnet
29.58% (0.122 0.12) 23.03% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 47.38% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 62.29% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.36% (-0.14 -0.14)38.64% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (-0.149 -0.15)60.94% (0.147 0.15)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.26% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)16.64% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)46.48% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 29.58%
    Barnet 47.38%
    Draw 23.03%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawBarnet
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.98% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 10.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 47.38%

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Barnet

Scunthorpe United
38.5%
Draw
11.5%
Barnet
50.0%
26
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Barnet
1-1
Scunthorpe
Pritchard (82')
Apter (79')
Boyce (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1290325111427
2York City127411861225
3Forest Green RoversForest Green127322091124
4Rochdale127232091123
5Gateshead117222215723
6Oldham AthleticOldham126511711623
7Eastleigh126331915421
8Sutton UnitedSutton125431916319
9AltrinchamAltrincham125341515018
10Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red124532013717
11Halifax TownHalifax124531210217
12Yeovil TownYeovil124351314-115
13Woking124351316-315
14Solihull MoorsSolihull124351418-415
15Aldershot TownAldershot123541717014
16Southend UnitedSouthend123541717014
17Tamworth114251219-714
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool12345711-413
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead123271420-611
20Braintree TownBraintree12246613-710
21Boston UnitedBoston122371222-109
22Fylde122371324-119
23WealdstoneWealdstone12156917-88
24Ebbsfleet12129925-165
> National League Full Table


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