Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Barnet |
29.58% (![]() | 23.03% (![]() | 47.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.36% (![]() | 38.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.05% (![]() | 60.94% (![]() |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% (![]() | 25.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.97% (![]() | 60.02% (![]() |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% (![]() | 16.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% (![]() | 46.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 7.14% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 10.37% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.3% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 4.34% Total : 47.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
2 | York City | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 71 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 62 |
5 | Gateshead | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 60 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 59 |
7 | Rochdale | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 55 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 55 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 52 |
10 | Eastleigh | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 52 |
11 | Tamworth | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 48 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 46 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Braintree TownBraintree | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
17 | Woking | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 41 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 40 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 36 |
20 | Fylde | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 36 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 31 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 37 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 80 | -54 | 14 |
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