Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 68.29%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Chesterfield |
13.68% ( -0.02) | 18.03% ( -0.01) | 68.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.29% ( 0.03) | 36.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.12% ( 0.03) | 58.87% ( -0.03) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.93% ( 0) | 39.07% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.21% | 75.78% ( 0) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.19% ( 0.02) | 9.81% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.42% ( 0.04) | 32.58% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 13.68% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.03% | 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 68.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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