Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
59.78% ( -0.08) | 21.23% ( -0.07) | 18.99% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.6% ( 0.59) | 41.39% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.2% ( 0.6) | 63.79% ( -0.59) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0.17) | 13.47% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.52% ( 0.33) | 40.48% ( -0.33) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% ( 0.52) | 35.45% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% ( 0.53) | 72.21% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.78% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 18.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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