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Torquay United
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
3 - 3
Dorking

De Silva (12', 65'), Ellis (80')
Ness (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wheeler (45+1'), McShane (51'), Muitt (53')
Lincoln (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Torquay United and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 0-3 Aldershot
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

We said: Torquay United 2-2 Dorking Wanderers

Games involving Dorking Wanderers have tended to be high-scoring affairs so far this season, and we expect this one to be no different. Torquay picked up a good result against Derby County last time out, but with the visitors being a lot higher than them in the table, this fixture may well end as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
42.17% (0.10299999999999 0.1) 22.42% (-0.119 -0.12) 35.41% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 67.3% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.83% (0.60599999999999 0.61)33.17% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.08% (0.693 0.69)54.92% (-0.694 -0.69)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.286 0.29)16.48% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.514 0.51)46.2% (-0.516 -0.52)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.28400000000001 0.28)19.41% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (0.46400000000001 0.46)51.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 42.17%
    Dorking Wanderers 35.41%
    Draw 22.42%
Torquay UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Dorking

Torquay United
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Dorking Wanderers
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
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22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
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