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Torquay United
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
3 - 3
Dorking

De Silva (12', 65'), Ellis (80')
Ness (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wheeler (45+1'), McShane (51'), Muitt (53')
Lincoln (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Torquay United and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 0-3 Aldershot
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

We said: Torquay United 2-2 Dorking Wanderers

 Games involving Dorking Wanderers have tended to be high-scoring affairs so far this season, and we expect this one to be no different. Torquay picked up a good result against Derby County last time out, but with the visitors being a lot higher than them in the table, this fixture may well end as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
42.17% (0.10299999999999 0.1) 22.42% (-0.119 -0.12) 35.41% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 67.3% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.83% (0.60599999999999 0.61)33.17% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.08% (0.693 0.69)54.92% (-0.694 -0.69)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.286 0.29)16.48% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.514 0.51)46.2% (-0.516 -0.52)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.28400000000001 0.28)19.41% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (0.46400000000001 0.46)51.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 42.17%
    Dorking Wanderers 35.41%
    Draw 22.42%
Torquay UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Dorking

Torquay United
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Dorking Wanderers
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1290325111427
2York City127411861225
3Forest Green RoversForest Green127322091124
4Rochdale127232091123
5Gateshead117222215723
6Oldham AthleticOldham126511711623
7Eastleigh126331915421
8Sutton UnitedSutton125431916319
9AltrinchamAltrincham125341515018
10Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red124532013717
11Halifax TownHalifax124531210217
12Yeovil TownYeovil124351314-115
13Woking124351316-315
14Solihull MoorsSolihull124351418-415
15Aldershot TownAldershot123541717014
16Southend UnitedSouthend123541717014
17Tamworth114251219-714
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool12345711-413
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead123271420-611
20Braintree TownBraintree12246613-710
21Boston UnitedBoston122371222-109
22Fylde122371324-119
23WealdstoneWealdstone12156917-88
24Ebbsfleet12129925-165
> National League Full Table


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